US Electric Vehicle Sales Share >35% in 2030?

conditional

condition

US 2030 Electricity Below 11 cents per kWh?

3 forecasters

if yes

if no

US Electric Vehicle Sales Share >35% in 2030?

67%

US Electric Vehicle Sales Share >35% in 2030?

25%

5 comments5

Make a Prediction

US 2030 Electricity Below 11 cents per kWh?	US Electric Vehicle Sales Share >35% in 2030?
if yes	My Prediction: —
if no	My Prediction: —

50%

community: 67%

Forecast Timeline

if Yes

if No

Authors:

DavidHume

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Environment & Climate

Technology

Drivers are being 'ill-served by underwhelming EVs,' says boss of Tesla rival Lucid

Business Insider•Nov 13, 2024

Tesla’s Trump

Forbes•Nov 14, 2024

[KH Explains] For Korean automakers, Chinese EVs may loom larger than Trump’s tariffs

Korea Herald•Nov 14, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

US Electric Vehicle Sales Share >35% in 2030? → US 2030 Electricity Below 11 cents per kWh?

EV Sales Share Above 11% in US in 2024? → Level 2 or Greater Public Charging Stations (2025)

Will the 2030 light duty pure battery electric vehicle sales share exceed 35% in the US through November 2030?

25%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

DavidHume

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Environment & Climate

Technology

Drivers are being 'ill-served by underwhelming EVs,' says boss of Tesla rival Lucid

Business Insider•Nov 13, 2024

Tesla’s Trump

Forbes•Nov 14, 2024

[KH Explains] For Korean automakers, Chinese EVs may loom larger than Trump’s tariffs

Korea Herald•Nov 14, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

US Electric Vehicle Sales Share >35% in 2030? → US 2030 Electricity Below 11 cents per kWh?

EV Sales Share Above 11% in US in 2024? → Level 2 or Greater Public Charging Stations (2025)

Will the 2030 light duty pure battery electric vehicle sales share exceed 35% in the US through November 2030?

25%