Group

How many mass shootings will be reported in the United States in the following years?

2 comments2

6 forecasters

Forecast Timeline

2026

2028

Make a Prediction

Year

median

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Authors:

RyanBeck

Opened:

Sep 25, 2024

Closes:

Dec 31, 2028

Scheduled resolution:

Feb 1, 2029

🗽Forecast the State of the Union 🗽

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Social Sciences

Newsweek Magazine February 21, 2025 Issue

Newsweek•Feb 12, 2025

7 years after the Parkland school massacre, is America any safer from guns?

USA Today•Feb 16, 2025

Trump Prepares to Wipe Out Years of Progress on Gun Violence

Mother Jones•Feb 16, 2025

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What will the US homicide rate per 100,000 be in the following years?

5.71

What will be the number of drug overdose deaths in the United States in the following years?

112k

What will be the federal deficit in the United States in the following fiscal years in millions of dollars?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

RyanBeck

Opened:

Sep 25, 2024

Closes:

Dec 31, 2028

Scheduled resolution:

Feb 1, 2029

🗽Forecast the State of the Union 🗽

Politics

Social Sciences

Newsweek Magazine February 21, 2025 Issue

Newsweek•Feb 12, 2025

7 years after the Parkland school massacre, is America any safer from guns?

USA Today•Feb 16, 2025

Trump Prepares to Wipe Out Years of Progress on Gun Violence

Mother Jones•Feb 16, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

What will the US homicide rate per 100,000 be in the following years?

5.71

What will be the number of drug overdose deaths in the United States in the following years?

112k