Question

Will a new constitutional amendment concerning firearms be ratified in the United States before 2029?

1 comment1

Total Forecasters22

Community Prediction

0.1%

(0.1% - 0.1%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 0.1%

Authors:

RyanBeck

Opened:

Sep 25, 2024

Closes:

Dec 31, 2028

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2029

Spot Scoring Time:

Sep 28, 2024

🗽Forecast the State of the Union 🗽

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Will a new amendment to the US Constitution be ratified by 2050?

58%

Will the National Archivist certify and publish the Equal Rights Amendment to the Constitution by June 30, 2025?

0.1%

Will the US pass a federal bill on AI regulation before January 1, 2026?

60%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

RyanBeck

Opened:

Sep 25, 2024

Closes:

Dec 31, 2028

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2029

Spot Scoring Time:

Sep 28, 2024

🗽Forecast the State of the Union 🗽

Politics

How the First Amendment and Second Amendment are Linked

Townhall•Mar 24, 2025

What a Pro-2A White House Looks Like

Townhall•Mar 23, 2025

Donald Trump Among 2028 Presidential Favorites Despite Two-Term Limit

Newsweek•Mar 22, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will a new amendment to the US Constitution be ratified by 2050?

58%

Will the National Archivist certify and publish the Equal Rights Amendment to the Constitution by June 30, 2025?

0.1%

Will the US pass a federal bill on AI regulation before January 1, 2026?

60%