Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Group

How many mass shootings will be reported in the United States in the following years?

1
2
4 forecasters

Forecast Timeline

Total Forecasters 4

Make a Prediction

Year25thmedian75th
weight:
My Prediction
community
<300
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>1.2k
...
...
...
...
...
4.5%
519.2
612.5
699.9
0.3%
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
RyanBeck
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
🗽Forecast the State of the Union 🗽
Politics
Social Sciences

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