Group

What will be the federal deficit in the United States in the following fiscal years in millions of dollars?

4 forecasters

Forecast Timeline

2028

2026

Make a Prediction

Fiscal Year	25th	median	75th
2026	1.74M ...	1.94M ...	2.14M ...
2028	1.82M ...	2.11M ...	2.4M ...

weight:

My Prediction

community

<500k

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>2.5M

...

0.3%

1.739M

1.945M

2.142M

4.0%

Learn more about scores here.

Authors:

RyanBeck

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

🗽Forecast the State of the Union 🗽

Economy & Business

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Federal budget $27bn in the red and won’t return to balance for a decade, Myefo forecasts

Guardian•Dec 18, 2024

'Unsustainable Fiscal Trajectory': As the National Debt Continues to Soar, Do Our Leaders Really Care?

Red State•Dec 13, 2024

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What will annual CO₂ emissions in the United States be (in tonnes, and including land use change) in the following years?

4.85B

How many southwest land border encounters will be reported by US Customs and Border Protection in the following fiscal years?

1.84M

How many mass shootings will be reported in the United States in the following years?

629

Comments

? comments

Authors:

RyanBeck

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

🗽Forecast the State of the Union 🗽

Economy & Business

Politics

An Evenhanded Analysis of Trump’s Economic Policies

•Dec 20, 2024

Federal budget $27bn in the red and won’t return to balance for a decade, Myefo forecasts

Guardian•Dec 18, 2024

'Unsustainable Fiscal Trajectory': As the National Debt Continues to Soar, Do Our Leaders Really Care?

Red State•Dec 13, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

What will annual CO₂ emissions in the United States be (in tonnes, and including land use change) in the following years?

4.85B

How many southwest land border encounters will be reported by US Customs and Border Protection in the following fiscal years?

1.84M

How many mass shootings will be reported in the United States in the following years?

629

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What will be the federal deficit in the United States in the following fiscal years in millions of dollars?

Forecast Timeline

Make a Prediction

What will annual CO₂ emissions in the United States be (in tonnes, and including land use change) in the following years?

How many southwest land border encounters will be reported by US Customs and Border Protection in the following fiscal years?

How many mass shootings will be reported in the United States in the following years?

Comments

What will annual CO₂ emissions in the United States be (in tonnes, and including land use change) in the following years?

How many southwest land border encounters will be reported by US Customs and Border Protection in the following fiscal years?

How many mass shootings will be reported in the United States in the following years?

What will annual CO₂ emissions in the United States be (in tonnes, and including land use change) in the following years?

How many southwest land border encounters will be reported by US Customs and Border Protection in the following fiscal years?

How many mass shootings will be reported in the United States in the following years?

What will annual CO₂ emissions in the United States be (in tonnes, and including land use change) in the following years?

How many southwest land border encounters will be reported by US Customs and Border Protection in the following fiscal years?

How many mass shootings will be reported in the United States in the following years?