Group

What will be the number of drug overdose deaths in the United States in the following years?

5 forecasters

Forecast Timeline

2026

2028

Make a Prediction

Year	25th	median	75th
2026	103k ...	110k ...	125k ...
2028	93.3k ...	106k ...	129k ...

weight:

My Prediction

community

<60k

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>160k

...

0.7%

103.1k

109.8k

125k

4.9%

Learn more about scores here.

Authors:

RyanBeck

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

🗽Forecast the State of the Union 🗽

Politics

Health & Pandemics

Americans are living longer, thanks to pandemic's end, fewer opioid deaths

USA Today•Dec 19, 2024

Biden's DEA Administrator Touts Massive Decline in Fentanyl Overdoses

Newsweek•Dec 20, 2024

Drug overdose deaths dropped nationwide. Experts are working to understand why

PBS NewsHour•Dec 13, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

How many mass shootings will be reported in the United States in the following years?

629

What will the US homicide rate per 100,000 be in the following years?

5.66

What will annual CO₂ emissions in the United States be (in tonnes, and including land use change) in the following years?

4.86B

Comments

? comments

Authors:

RyanBeck

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

🗽Forecast the State of the Union 🗽

Politics

Health & Pandemics

Americans are living longer, thanks to pandemic's end, fewer opioid deaths

USA Today•Dec 19, 2024

Biden's DEA Administrator Touts Massive Decline in Fentanyl Overdoses

Newsweek•Dec 20, 2024

Drug overdose deaths dropped nationwide. Experts are working to understand why

PBS NewsHour•Dec 13, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

How many mass shootings will be reported in the United States in the following years?

629

What will the US homicide rate per 100,000 be in the following years?

5.66

What will annual CO₂ emissions in the United States be (in tonnes, and including land use change) in the following years?

4.86B

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What will be the number of drug overdose deaths in the United States in the following years?

Forecast Timeline

Make a Prediction

How many mass shootings will be reported in the United States in the following years?

What will the US homicide rate per 100,000 be in the following years?

What will annual CO₂ emissions in the United States be (in tonnes, and including land use change) in the following years?

Comments

How many mass shootings will be reported in the United States in the following years?

What will the US homicide rate per 100,000 be in the following years?

What will annual CO₂ emissions in the United States be (in tonnes, and including land use change) in the following years?

How many mass shootings will be reported in the United States in the following years?

What will the US homicide rate per 100,000 be in the following years?

What will annual CO₂ emissions in the United States be (in tonnes, and including land use change) in the following years?

How many mass shootings will be reported in the United States in the following years?

What will the US homicide rate per 100,000 be in the following years?

What will annual CO₂ emissions in the United States be (in tonnes, and including land use change) in the following years?