Group

What will annual CO₂ emissions in the United States be (in tonnes, and including land use change) in the following years?

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10 forecasters

Forecast Timeline

2026

2028

Make a Prediction

Year

median

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Authors:

RyanBeck

Opened:

Sep 25, 2024

Closes:

Dec 31, 2028

Scheduled resolution:

Jul 1, 2030

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What will annual CO2 emissions be in the United States (in tonnes) in the following years?

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What will global CO2 emissions (in tonnes) be in the following years?

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Five years after AGI, what will be global carbon emissions?

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Comments

? comments

Authors:

RyanBeck

Opened:

Sep 25, 2024

Closes:

Dec 31, 2028

Scheduled resolution:

Jul 1, 2030

🗽Forecast the State of the Union 🗽

Environment & Climate

Politics

After a month of Trump's pro-oil and gas moves, Dems target his energy emergency

Independent•Feb 27, 2025

After a month of Trump’s pro-oil and gas moves, Dems target his energy emergency

Associated Press•Feb 27, 2025

Worldwide Glacier Meltdown Underway

CounterPunch•Feb 28, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

What will annual CO2 emissions be in the United States (in tonnes) in the following years?

4.96B

What will global CO2 emissions (in tonnes) be in the following years?

37.5B

Five years after AGI, what will be global carbon emissions?

32.4B