Question

Will the Metaculus community correctly predict the winner of the 2024 US presidential election?

Resolved :No55.9%

6 comments6

Total Forecasters27

Community Prediction55.9% (51% - 60%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 55.9%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

-20.9

Community Peer Score

35.0

Authors:

benj83

Opened:

Sep 28, 2024

Closes:

Oct 15, 2024

Resolves:

Jan 7, 2025

Elections

Politics

2024 Leaderboard

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