Question

Major contentious CRISPR patent to be overturned?

Resolved :No

12 comments12

Total Forecasters87

Community Prediction57%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 57%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

-34.7

Community Peer Score

39.0

median 57.0%mean 57.8%

Authors:

paulgabrielsen

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Leahy–Smith America Invents Act

United States Patent and Trademark Office

Biotechnology

Emmanuelle Charpentier

Will wheat be successfully de-allergenized by 2030?

42%

Before 2027, will a federal court of appeals overturn a pre-Loper Bright decision that relied on Chevron deference, citing the Supreme Court’s ruling in Loper Bright as the primary reason?

95%

Will a US court fine, or order a company to pay to claimants, >=$100M because of how they used data to train a large AI model before 2026?

10%

Comments

? comments