Question

Major contentious CRISPR patent to be overturned?

Resolved :No57%

12 comments12

Total Forecasters87

Community Prediction57% (48% - 70%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 57%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

-34.7

Community Peer Score

39.0

Authors:

paulgabrielsen

Opened:

Jul 16, 2016

Closes:

Nov 15, 2016

Resolves:

Feb 16, 2017

Leahy–Smith America Invents Act

United States Patent and Trademark Office

Biotechnology

Emmanuelle Charpentier

DOGE Should Constrain PTAB to Save Money and American Innovation

Townhall•Jan 27, 2025

OpenAI asks Indian court to block media groups from joining copyright lawsuit

Independent•Jan 28, 2025

US wins ruling in a trade dispute with Mexico over its bid to ban genetically modified corn

Associated Press•Jan 29, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will wheat be successfully de-allergenized by 2030?

42%

Before 2027, will a federal court of appeals overturn a pre-Loper Bright decision that relied on Chevron deference, citing the Supreme Court’s ruling in Loper Bright as the primary reason?

98%

Will a US court fine, or order a company to pay to claimants, >=$100M because of how they used data to train a large AI model before 2026?

10%

Comments

? comments