conditional
if yes
if no
Make a Prediction
2024 US Presidential Election Winner? (Donald Trump) | US Legal Immigration Each Fiscal Year? (2028) |
|---|---|
| My Prediction: - | |
| My Prediction: - |
CDF
The question "Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Donald Trump)" has closed, so these conditionals are closed for forecasting. They will resolve when the question "How many immigrants to the US will obtain lawful permanent resident status in the following fiscal years? (2028)" resolves.
| Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
| <500k | 10.9% | — |
| Quartiles | ||
| lower 25% | 644.2k | — |
| median | 808.9k | — |
| upper 75% | 988.9k | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >2M | 0.2% | — |
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Sep 25, 2024
Closed:Dec 31, 2028
Scheduled resolution:Oct 1, 2029
Comments
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Authors:
Opened:Sep 25, 2024
Closed:Dec 31, 2028
Scheduled resolution:Oct 1, 2029