Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

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M

conditional
condition

2024 US Presidential Election Winner? (Donald Trump)

Closed
52 forecasters
if yes
if no

Russia Expanded Territory in Ukraine in 2026?

75%
75%

Russia Expanded Territory in Ukraine in 2026?

25%
25%
8
2

Make a Prediction

2024 US Presidential Election Winner? (Donald Trump)

Russia Expanded Territory in Ukraine in 2026?

50%
community: 75%
The question "Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Donald Trump)" has closed, so these conditionals are closed for forecasting. They will resolve when the question "Will Russia have significantly expanded its controlled territory in Ukraine on January 1, 2026?" resolves.
Learn more about scores here.

Forecast Timeline

Authors:
RyanBeck
Opened:
Closed:
Scheduled resolution:
2024 Electoral Consequences
Geopolitics
2024 Leaderboard

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