🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

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Make a Prediction

2024 US Presidential Election Winner? (Donald Trump)

Chinese Invasion of Taiwan? (2030)

50%
community: 26%
The question "Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Donald Trump)" has closed, so these conditionals are closed for forecasting. They will resolve when the question "Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan by the following years? (2030)" resolves.
Learn more about scores here.

Forecast Timeline

Authors:
Opened:
Closed:
Scheduled resolution:

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