Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

conditional
condition

2024 US Presidential Election Winner? (Donald Trump)

Closed
11 forecasters
if yes
if no

S&P 500 Closing Values? (January 10, 2028)

7.34k

S&P 500 Closing Values? (January 10, 2028)

7.43k
7
5

Make a Prediction

2024 US Presidential Election Winner? (Donald Trump)

S&P 500 Closing Values? (January 10, 2028)

The question "Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Donald Trump)" has closed, so these conditionals are closed for forecasting. They will resolve when the question "What will be the closing value of the S&P 500 Index on the following dates? (January 10, 2028)" resolves.
My Prediction
community
<3k
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>14k
...
...
...
...
...
2.6%
6.034k
7.341k
8.629k
0.5%
Learn more about scores here.

Forecast Timeline

Authors:
RyanBeck
Opened:
Closed:
Scheduled resolution:
2024 Electoral Consequences
Economy & Business
2024 Leaderboard

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