Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

conditional
condition

2024 US Presidential Election Winner? (Donald Trump)

Closed
10 forecasters
if yes
if no

US Annual Drug Overdose Deaths? (2028)

116k

US Annual Drug Overdose Deaths? (2028)

113k
2
1

Make a Prediction

2024 US Presidential Election Winner? (Donald Trump)

US Annual Drug Overdose Deaths? (2028)

My Prediction
community
<60k
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>160k
...
...
...
...
...
0.6%
108.1k
115.9k
124.3k
3.9%
Learn more about scores here.

Forecast Timeline

Authors:
RyanBeck
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
2024 Electoral Consequences
Politics
Health & Pandemics
2024 Leaderboard

Comments

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