Question
When will an AI system, operating independently, solve or determine the undecidability of a Millennium Prize Problem and have its proof or disproof published in a peer-reviewed mathematics journal?
Total Forecasters14
Community Prediction2033-12-06 (2030-01-01 - 2046-06-13)
Make a Prediction
CDF
weight:
Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
<2030-01-01 | 39.3% | — |
Quartiles | ||
lower 25% | <Jan 2030 | — |
median | Dec 2033 | — |
upper 75% | Jun 2046 | — |
Upper bound | ||
>2070-01-01 | 7.4% | — |
Authors:
Opened:Oct 1, 2024
Closes:Jan 1, 2070
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2070
Comments
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Authors:
Opened:Oct 1, 2024
Closes:Jan 1, 2070
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2070