Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here β€” $2,500 in prizes

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Question

Who will win the 2024 World Chess Championship?

11
67
100 forecasters

Forecast Timeline

Total Forecasters 93

Make a Prediction

ContenderMe
ResolvedGukesh Dommaraju
99.9%
Ding Liren
0.1%
Total: ?
(? remaining)

Which of these actually happened?Gukesh Dommaraju

Community Baseline Score
43.3
Community Peer Score
-0.4
Learn more about scores here.
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