MetaculusM

Question

Will there be a global recession before 2026, according to the IMF?

4

Total Forecasters20

Community Prediction15% (10% - 20%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 15%

Authors:

pashka24 Emi anna.k.hennig EdwardStoppard

Opened:

Oct 2, 2024

Closes:

Jul 1, 2025

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2026

Economy & Business

2024-2025 Leaderboard

Survey Says Institutional Investors Cautiously Optimistic For 2025

Forbes•Feb 21, 2025

Economists fear Trump’s mass layoffs will trigger 'deep, deep recession' — and soon

AlterNet•Feb 23, 2025

Experts fear Trump’s mass layoffs will trigger 'deep, deep recession' — and soon

Raw Story•Feb 23, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will a recession begin in the United States in the following years?

Will Australia enter a recession before 2026?

Will the S&P 500 index experience a drawdown of at least 40% before 2027?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

pashka24 Emi anna.k.hennig EdwardStoppard

Opened:

Oct 2, 2024

Closes:

Jul 1, 2025

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2026

Economy & Business

2024-2025 Leaderboard

Survey Says Institutional Investors Cautiously Optimistic For 2025

Forbes•Feb 21, 2025

Economists fear Trump’s mass layoffs will trigger 'deep, deep recession' — and soon

AlterNet•Feb 23, 2025

Experts fear Trump’s mass layoffs will trigger 'deep, deep recession' — and soon

Raw Story•Feb 23, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will a recession begin in the United States in the following years?

Will Australia enter a recession before 2026?

Will the S&P 500 index experience a drawdown of at least 40% before 2027?