Question

Airships by 2019?

Resolved :No43%

16 comments16

Total Forecasters99

Community Prediction43% (35% - 55%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 43%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

14.1

Community Peer Score

29.7

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Authors:

paulgabrielsen

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Technology

2016-2020 Leaderboard

Hybrid Air Vehicles

Boeing CH-47 Chinook

Hindenburg disaster

Empire State Building

Lockheed Martin P-791

Goodyear Blimp

Airlander 10

Lockheed Martin

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Will there be a test flight of a full-scale heavy-lift cargo airship before 2031?

85.3%

Will the US conduct a test flight of a military airship capable of transporting a at least a ten-ton payload by 2031?

20%

Will it be possible to order flying taxis in at least 5 cities before 2029?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

paulgabrielsen

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Technology

2016-2020 Leaderboard

Hybrid Air Vehicles

Boeing CH-47 Chinook

Hindenburg disaster

Empire State Building

Lockheed Martin P-791

Goodyear Blimp

Airlander 10

Lockheed Martin

The most encouraging climate solutions and green technologies of 2024

New Scientist•Dec 17, 2024

The spy drone lurking above our heads: British-built solar powered aircraft can quietly cruise through the stratosphere for months at a time

Daily Mail•Dec 19, 2024

K2 Space will fly its extra-large satellite for the first time in 2026

TechCrunch•Dec 20, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will there be a test flight of a full-scale heavy-lift cargo airship before 2031?

85.3%

Will the US conduct a test flight of a military airship capable of transporting a at least a ten-ton payload by 2031?

20%

Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

MetaculusM

Airships by 2019?

Make a Prediction

Will there be a test flight of a full-scale heavy-lift cargo airship before 2031?

Will the US conduct a test flight of a military airship capable of transporting a at least a ten-ton payload by 2031?

Will it be possible to order flying taxis in at least 5 cities before 2029?

Comments

Will there be a test flight of a full-scale heavy-lift cargo airship before 2031?

Will the US conduct a test flight of a military airship capable of transporting a at least a ten-ton payload by 2031?

Will it be possible to order flying taxis in at least 5 cities before 2029?

Will there be a test flight of a full-scale heavy-lift cargo airship before 2031?

Will the US conduct a test flight of a military airship capable of transporting a at least a ten-ton payload by 2031?

Will it be possible to order flying taxis in at least 5 cities before 2029?

Will there be a test flight of a full-scale heavy-lift cargo airship before 2031?

Will the US conduct a test flight of a military airship capable of transporting a at least a ten-ton payload by 2031?

Will it be possible to order flying taxis in at least 5 cities before 2029?