Question

Airships by 2019?

Resolved :No

16 comments16

Total Forecasters99

Community Prediction43%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 43%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

14.1

Community Peer Score

29.7

median 43.0%mean 45.0%

Authors:

paulgabrielsen

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Empire State Building

Lockheed Martin P-791

Goodyear Blimp

Airlander 10

Lockheed Martin

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Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will there be a test flight of a full-scale heavy-lift cargo airship before 2031?

85.3%

Will the US conduct a test flight of a military airship capable of transporting a at least a ten-ton payload by 2031?

20%

Will it be possible to order flying taxis in at least 5 cities before 2029?

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