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Will US government forbid an AI training run outside the US for national security reasons by 2038?

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DavidA.B.Mathers

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Before 2028, will powerful open-source AI be regulated more tightly than closed-source AI, through newly-enacted US law?

25%

Before 2030, will there be an AI-caused administrative disempowerment?

Will China have the largest AI model in 2035? (Resolve "yes" in ambiguous cases)

22%

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Authors:

DavidA.B.Mathers

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Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

David Mathers' Community

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Before 2028, will powerful open-source AI be regulated more tightly than closed-source AI, through newly-enacted US law?

25%

Before 2030, will there be an AI-caused administrative disempowerment?

Will China have the largest AI model in 2035? (Resolve "yes" in ambiguous cases)

22%

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Will US government forbid an AI training run outside the US for national security reasons by 2038?

Make a Prediction

Before 2028, will powerful open-source AI be regulated more tightly than closed-source AI, through newly-enacted US law?

Before 2030, will there be an AI-caused administrative disempowerment?

Will China have the largest AI model in 2035? (Resolve "yes" in ambiguous cases)

Comments

Before 2028, will powerful open-source AI be regulated more tightly than closed-source AI, through newly-enacted US law?

Before 2030, will there be an AI-caused administrative disempowerment?

Will China have the largest AI model in 2035? (Resolve "yes" in ambiguous cases)

Before 2028, will powerful open-source AI be regulated more tightly than closed-source AI, through newly-enacted US law?

Before 2030, will there be an AI-caused administrative disempowerment?

Will China have the largest AI model in 2035? (Resolve "yes" in ambiguous cases)

Before 2028, will powerful open-source AI be regulated more tightly than closed-source AI, through newly-enacted US law?

Before 2030, will there be an AI-caused administrative disempowerment?

Will China have the largest AI model in 2035? (Resolve "yes" in ambiguous cases)