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How many vehicles will Tesla report producing in each of the following years?

2 comments2

6 forecasters

Forecast Timeline

2035

2032

2040

2030

2027

2028

Make a Prediction

Year	25th	median	75th
2026	2.4M ...	2.78M ...	3.48M ...
2027	2.67M ...	3.3M ...	3.9M ...
2028	3.3M ...	4.14M ...	4.96M ...
2030	4.32M ...	5.65M ...	6.98M ...
2032	5.23M ...	6.77M ...	8.3M ...
2035	6.7M ...	8.27M ...	9.38M ...
2040	5.86M ...	8.33M ...	10.6M ...

weight:

My Prediction

community

<1M

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>5M

...

0.3%

2.401M

2.783M

3.478M

0.8%

Learn more about scores here.

Authors:

exmateriae

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Economy & Business

Technology

Despite Tesla’s Wild Stock Surge, Musk Turns To Discounts To Juice Sliding Sales

Forbes•Dec 19, 2024

Tesla Recalls 700,000 Vehicles Over Tire Pressure Warning Failure

Newsweek•Dec 20, 2024

It's the end of the road for these cars: Models that won't make it to 2025

USA Today•Dec 18, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

What will be the median estimated range (in miles) of all-electric vehicles available for under 40 thousand dollars (in 2022 US dollars) for the following model years?

257

What will be the percent of light vehicles sold in the United States in the following years which are zero-emission vehicles?

7.84

How many vehicles will Tesla report producing in 2025?

2.87M

Comments

? comments

Authors:

exmateriae

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Economy & Business

Technology

Despite Tesla’s Wild Stock Surge, Musk Turns To Discounts To Juice Sliding Sales

Forbes•Dec 19, 2024

Tesla Recalls 700,000 Vehicles Over Tire Pressure Warning Failure

Newsweek•Dec 20, 2024

It's the end of the road for these cars: Models that won't make it to 2025

USA Today•Dec 18, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

What will be the median estimated range (in miles) of all-electric vehicles available for under 40 thousand dollars (in 2022 US dollars) for the following model years?

257

What will be the percent of light vehicles sold in the United States in the following years which are zero-emission vehicles?

7.84

How many vehicles will Tesla report producing in 2025?

2.87M

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How many vehicles will Tesla report producing in each of the following years?

Forecast Timeline

Make a Prediction

What will be the median estimated range (in miles) of all-electric vehicles available for under 40 thousand dollars (in 2022 US dollars) for the following model years?

What will be the percent of light vehicles sold in the United States in the following years which are zero-emission vehicles?

How many vehicles will Tesla report producing in 2025?

Comments

What will be the median estimated range (in miles) of all-electric vehicles available for under 40 thousand dollars (in 2022 US dollars) for the following model years?

What will be the percent of light vehicles sold in the United States in the following years which are zero-emission vehicles?

How many vehicles will Tesla report producing in 2025?

What will be the median estimated range (in miles) of all-electric vehicles available for under 40 thousand dollars (in 2022 US dollars) for the following model years?

What will be the percent of light vehicles sold in the United States in the following years which are zero-emission vehicles?

How many vehicles will Tesla report producing in 2025?

What will be the median estimated range (in miles) of all-electric vehicles available for under 40 thousand dollars (in 2022 US dollars) for the following model years?

What will be the percent of light vehicles sold in the United States in the following years which are zero-emission vehicles?

How many vehicles will Tesla report producing in 2025?