Question

When will the sixth Starship integrated flight test achieve liftoff?

10 comments10

Total Forecasters28

Community Prediction2024-12-17

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

<2024-11-01

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>2024-12-31

...

0.6%

2024-12-04 14:49

2024-12-17 23:24

2024-12-31 00:00

31.8%

Authors:

skmmcj Zaldath

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

🏆 Quarterly Cup 🏆

Technology

Space

Will SpaceX's Starship reach orbit in 2024?

How many Starship launches will reach an altitude of 160 kilometers in 2024?

Will the Boeing Starliner Commercial Crew program be canceled before its first operational flight?

50%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

skmmcj Zaldath

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

🏆 Quarterly Cup 🏆

Technology

Space

Starship: When will SpaceX's next 'chopstick' test flight go ahead?

New Scientist•Oct 11, 2024

SpaceX gets green light from FAA for fifth Starship test flight

CNN•Oct 13, 2024

Starship’s fifth test flight is approved: where to watch the launch

Verge•Oct 13, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will SpaceX's Starship reach orbit in 2024?

How many Starship launches will reach an altitude of 160 kilometers in 2024?

Will the Boeing Starliner Commercial Crew program be canceled before its first operational flight?

50%