M

Question

When will an AI system achieve a score of at least 85% on the Abstraction and Reasoning Corpus (ARC) benchmark?

4
6
Total Forecasters11
Community Prediction2025-07-13 (2025-02-05 - 2026-02-02)

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weight:
My Prediction
community
<2024-10-01
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>2030-01-01
...
...
...
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1.9%
2025-02-05 17:23
2025-07-13 23:37
2026-02-02 12:50
0.1%
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
Jacob314
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Artificial Intelligence

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