M

Question

When will an AI system achieve a score of at least 85% on the Abstraction and Reasoning Corpus (ARC) benchmark?

4
4
Total Forecasters10
Community Prediction2025-09-26

Make a Prediction

My Prediction
community
<2024-10-01
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>2030-01-01
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2.3%
2025-05-04 15:44
2025-09-26 14:43
2026-03-17 18:31
0.1%
Authors:
Jacob314
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Artificial Intelligence

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