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MetaculusM

Question

Will any country besides the United Kingdom trigger article 50 to leave the European Union, before 2030?

6

Total Forecasters31

Community Prediction8% (3% - 13%)

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50%

community: 8%

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Authors:

pashka24 Emi anna.k.hennig EdwardStoppard

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Majority of Brexit voters ‘would accept free movement’ to access single market

Guardian•Dec 13, 2024

Why the Franco-German engine that powered the EU is currently kaput

Guardian•Dec 16, 2024

Germany's Chancellor Olaf Scholz loses confidence vote, paving way for election

•Dec 16, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Comments

? comments

Authors:

pashka24 Emi anna.k.hennig EdwardStoppard

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Majority of Brexit voters ‘would accept free movement’ to access single market

Guardian•Dec 13, 2024

Why the Franco-German engine that powered the EU is currently kaput

Guardian•Dec 16, 2024

Germany's Chancellor Olaf Scholz loses confidence vote, paving way for election

•Dec 16, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch