MetaculusM

Question

Will any country besides the United Kingdom trigger article 50 to leave the European Union, before 2030?

6

Total Forecasters42

Community Prediction

11%

(5% - 40%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 11%

Authors:

pashka24 Emi anna.k.hennig EdwardStoppard

Opened:

Oct 1, 2024

Closes:

Jan 1, 2030

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2030

Spot Scoring Time:

Oct 4, 2024

Comments

? comments

Authors:

pashka24 Emi anna.k.hennig EdwardStoppard

Opened:

Oct 1, 2024

Closes:

Jan 1, 2030

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2030

Spot Scoring Time:

Oct 4, 2024