Question

The Galaxy has disappeared from view for a third of humanity; will there be a growing movement to bring it back?

Resolved :No30%

7 comments7

Total Forecasters70

Community Prediction30% (10% - 58%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 30%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

-54.6

Community Peer Score

30.5

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Authors:

VLT

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

American Association for the Advancement of Science

Visible Infrared Imaging Radiometer Suite

Sky quality meter

Mont Mégantic Observatory

David Dunlap Observatory

International Dark-Sky Association

It’s Never Been a Better Time to Look Up

Scientific American•Dec 17, 2024

Wildfires Are Threatening Astronomy, and the Worst Is Yet to Come

Scientific American•Dec 18, 2024

Monstrous black hole swallows huge part of galaxy and then falls asleep

Independent•Dec 19, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will we observe a supernova in the Milky Way Galaxy before 2050?

70%

By 2030, will at least 1% of Gallup respondents report the most important problem facing the US is something relating to space?

6.5%

Five years after AGI, will another spacecraft have overtaken Voyager 1 as the farthest spacecraft from Earth?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

VLT

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

American Association for the Advancement of Science

Visible Infrared Imaging Radiometer Suite

Sky quality meter

Mont Mégantic Observatory

David Dunlap Observatory

International Dark-Sky Association

It’s Never Been a Better Time to Look Up

Scientific American•Dec 17, 2024

Wildfires Are Threatening Astronomy, and the Worst Is Yet to Come

Scientific American•Dec 18, 2024

Monstrous black hole swallows huge part of galaxy and then falls asleep

Independent•Dec 19, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will we observe a supernova in the Milky Way Galaxy before 2050?

70%

By 2030, will at least 1% of Gallup respondents report the most important problem facing the US is something relating to space?

6.5%

Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

MetaculusM

The Galaxy has disappeared from view for a third of humanity; will there be a growing movement to bring it back?

Make a Prediction

Will we observe a supernova in the Milky Way Galaxy before 2050?

By 2030, will at least 1% of Gallup respondents report the most important problem facing the US is something relating to space?

Five years after AGI, will another spacecraft have overtaken Voyager 1 as the farthest spacecraft from Earth?

Comments

Will we observe a supernova in the Milky Way Galaxy before 2050?

By 2030, will at least 1% of Gallup respondents report the most important problem facing the US is something relating to space?

Five years after AGI, will another spacecraft have overtaken Voyager 1 as the farthest spacecraft from Earth?

Will we observe a supernova in the Milky Way Galaxy before 2050?

By 2030, will at least 1% of Gallup respondents report the most important problem facing the US is something relating to space?

Five years after AGI, will another spacecraft have overtaken Voyager 1 as the farthest spacecraft from Earth?

Will we observe a supernova in the Milky Way Galaxy before 2050?

By 2030, will at least 1% of Gallup respondents report the most important problem facing the US is something relating to space?

Five years after AGI, will another spacecraft have overtaken Voyager 1 as the farthest spacecraft from Earth?