🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

Will BirdCast report 1 billion birds flying over the United States at any point before January 1, 2025?

Resolved :No0.1%
6
15
Total Forecasters84
Community Prediction0.1% (0.1% - 0.1%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 0.1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
98.2
Community Peer Score
10.2
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
johnnycaffeineskmmcj
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
🏆 Q4 2024 Quarterly Cup 🏆
Natural Sciences
2024 Leaderboard

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