🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

[Short Fuse] Will the vote of no confidence in Michel Barnier's government pass in the French National Assembly?

Resolved :No1%
1
Total Forecasters8
Community Prediction1% (0.3% - 5%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
93.5
Community Peer Score
-0.2
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
BrunoParga
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Politics
2024 Leaderboard

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