Question

Will Israel strike Iranian nuclear facilities before the 2024 US general election?

Resolved :Annulled5%

2 comments2

Total Forecasters12

Community Prediction5% (5% - 10%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 5%

Did this actually happen?Annulled

Authors:

christian

Opened:

Oct 8, 2024

Closes:

Oct 14, 2024

Resolves:

Nov 6, 2024

Politics

Geopolitics

2024 Leaderboard

Israel plotting attack on Iranian nuclear sites now that Trump is in office: report

New York Post•Feb 13, 2025

Israel Reportedly Planning To Launch ‘Significant Strikes’ Against Iran Nuclear Sites This Year

Daily Wire•Feb 13, 2025

Report: Israel Likely To Bomb Iran in the Coming Months

AntiWar•Feb 13, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

When, in 2025, will the United States or Israel attack an Islamic Republic of Iran nuclear facility?

2025-09-26

If there is an American AUMF or declaration of war against Iran before 2030, will the US control Tehran within one year?

15%

Will Iran possess a nuclear weapon before 2026?

Comments

? comments