Question
How many Metaculus users that ranked in the top 16 in the Q3 2024 Quarterly Cup will remain in the top 16 at the end of Q4 2024 Quarterly Cup?
Resolved :107.95Total Forecasters43
Community Prediction7.95 (7.02 - 8.88)
Make a Prediction
CDF
My Prediction
communitylower 25%
median
upper 75%
...
...
...
7.015
7.951
8.883
What was the final result?10
Community Baseline Score
30.6
Community Peer Score
47.5
Authors:
Opened:Oct 29, 2024
Closes:Dec 31, 2024
Resolves:Jan 7, 2025
Comments
? comments
Authors:
Opened:Oct 29, 2024
Closes:Dec 31, 2024
Resolves:Jan 7, 2025
