Take Our πŸ†Quarterly CupπŸ† Survey

We're considering changes to the Quarterly Cup and want to hear from you, take our short survey to share your thoughts and help shape future iterations of the Cup.

M

Question

How many Metaculus users that ranked in the top 16 in the Q3 2024 Quarterly Cup will remain in the top 16 at the end of Q4 2024 Quarterly Cup?

6
83
Total Forecasters40
Community Prediction7.09 (5.98 - 8.25)

Make a Prediction

weight:
My Prediction
community
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
...
...
...
5.98
7.088
8.25
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
skmmcj
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
πŸ† Quarterly Cup πŸ†
Metaculus
2024 Leaderboard

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