🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

[Short fuse] Will there be a majority of "Yes" votes in the Moldovan European Union membership referendum?

Resolved :Yes88%
3
30
Total Forecasters39
Community Prediction88% (80% - 95%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 88%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score
82.8
Community Peer Score
1.6
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
BrunoParga
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
🏆 Q4 2024 Quarterly Cup 🏆
Geopolitics
Politics
2024 Leaderboard

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