🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

Will any more United Kingdom MPs be suspended from their party, resign, or change allegiance before 2025?

Resolved :Yes99.9%
2
17
Total Forecasters30
Community Prediction99.9% (99.5% - 99.9%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 99.9%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score
4.5
Community Peer Score
1.1
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
skmmcj
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
🏆 Q4 2024 Quarterly Cup 🏆
Politics
2024 Leaderboard

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