Question

When will a majority of these US cities have autonomous public transit systems?

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Total Forecasters3

Community Prediction2041-03-03 (2038-05-04 - 2047-11-04)

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weight:

My Prediction

community

<2035-01-01

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>2075-12-31

...

8.4%

2038-05-04 16:48

2041-03-03 22:58

2047-11-04 23:14

0.4%

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Authors:

johnnycaffeine skmmcj

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Technology

7 Ways AI Is Revolutionising the Transportation Industry

•Dec 14, 2024

Roam.ai Blog - Roam.ai

•Dec 14, 2024

AI drive in transportation should be human-centric

•Dec 14, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will at least 95% of all new road vehicles with 4+ wheels sold in the US in 2075 have SAE Level 5 autonomy?

92%

When will 5%, 10%, and 20% of the US population have access to L4 or L5 self-driving?

When will self-driving taxis be available to Metaculus users?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

johnnycaffeine skmmcj

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Technology

7 Ways AI Is Revolutionising the Transportation Industry

•Dec 14, 2024

Roam.ai Blog - Roam.ai

•Dec 14, 2024

AI drive in transportation should be human-centric

•Dec 14, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will at least 95% of all new road vehicles with 4+ wheels sold in the US in 2075 have SAE Level 5 autonomy?

92%

Take Our 🏆Quarterly Cup🏆 Survey

MetaculusM

When will a majority of these US cities have autonomous public transit systems?

Make a Prediction

Will at least 95% of all new road vehicles with 4+ wheels sold in the US in 2075 have SAE Level 5 autonomy?

When will 5%, 10%, and 20% of the US population have access to L4 or L5 self-driving?

When will self-driving taxis be available to Metaculus users?

Comments

Will at least 95% of all new road vehicles with 4+ wheels sold in the US in 2075 have SAE Level 5 autonomy?

When will 5%, 10%, and 20% of the US population have access to L4 or L5 self-driving?

When will self-driving taxis be available to Metaculus users?

Will at least 95% of all new road vehicles with 4+ wheels sold in the US in 2075 have SAE Level 5 autonomy?

When will 5%, 10%, and 20% of the US population have access to L4 or L5 self-driving?

When will self-driving taxis be available to Metaculus users?

Will at least 95% of all new road vehicles with 4+ wheels sold in the US in 2075 have SAE Level 5 autonomy?

When will 5%, 10%, and 20% of the US population have access to L4 or L5 self-driving?

When will self-driving taxis be available to Metaculus users?