Question

How many weeks will influenza-like illness (ILI) activity levels be at "high" or above in at least five states during the 2024-2025 season?

4 comments4

Total Forecasters9

Community Prediction14.7

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>25

...

0.9%

12.12

14.73

17.35

1.1%

Authors:

johnnycaffeine RyanBeck

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Respiratory Outlook 2024/25

Health & Pandemics

Will any flu season before 2032 exceed 14% ED and UC visits being for ILI?

35.4%

Will there be two or more COVID-19 hospitalization waves in the United States in at least one of the 2028 and 2029 respiratory disease seasons?

76%

What will be the combined maximum weekly rate of new hospital admissions per 100,000 people relative to the maximum weekly rate of the peak disease in the 2024-25 season?

2.02

Comments

? comments

Authors:

johnnycaffeine RyanBeck

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Respiratory Outlook 2024/25

Health & Pandemics

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Scientific American•Nov 15, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will any flu season before 2032 exceed 14% ED and UC visits being for ILI?

35.4%

Will there be two or more COVID-19 hospitalization waves in the United States in at least one of the 2028 and 2029 respiratory disease seasons?

76%

What will be the combined maximum weekly rate of new hospital admissions per 100,000 people relative to the maximum weekly rate of the peak disease in the 2024-25 season?

2.02