Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

[Short fuse] Who will win the 2024 Uruguayan Presidential election?

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3
11 forecasters

Forecast Timeline

Total Forecasters 11

Make a Prediction

Me
ResolvedYamandú Orsi
78.4%
Álvaro Delgado
15.5%
Andrés Ojeda
2.2%
Another outcome
4%
Total: ?
(? remaining)

Which of these actually happened?Yamandú Orsi

Community Baseline Score
70.0
Community Peer Score
26.3
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:

Comments

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