Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

[Short Fuse] Will the Liberal Democratic Party win a majority of seats in the 2024 Japanese general election?

Resolved :No34%
2
Total Forecasters7
Community Prediction34% (30% - 40%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 34%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
13.4
Community Peer Score
67.2
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
BrunoParga
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Politics
Elections
2024 Leaderboard

Comments

? comments