Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

[Short Fuse] Will the Botswana Democratic Party win the 2024 general election?

Resolved :No59%
2
1
Total Forecasters5
Community Prediction59% (58% - 70%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 59%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
-31.4
Community Peer Score
0.5
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
BrunoParga
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Politics
Elections
2024 Leaderboard

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