Question

How many total human cases of H5 bird flu will CDC report in the United States for 2024 and 2025?

Total Forecasters25

Community Prediction187 (122 - 338)

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CDF

weight:

	lower 25%	median	upper 75%	>5k
community	122.3	186.7	338.2	1.6%
My Prediction	—	—	—	—

Quartiles	community	My Prediction
lower 25%	122.3	—
median	186.7	—
upper 75%	338.2	—
Upper bound
>5k	1.6%	—

Authors:

johnnycaffeine

Opened:

Oct 21, 2024

Closes:

Dec 31, 2025

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 10, 2026

Respiratory Outlook 2024/25

Health & Pandemics

2024-2025 Leaderboard

Fears of a pandemic brewing as overflowing hospitals are told to test respiratory patients for bird flu

Daily Mail•Feb 12, 2025

What to know about bird flu in 2025, from how it's spread to symptoms and egg impacts

CBS•Feb 13, 2025

After delay, CDC releases data signaling bird flu spread undetected in cows and people

NPR Online News•Feb 14, 2025

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