Question

What will the margin (%) be in Rhode Island for the 2024 presidential election as of 2:00 PM EST on 11/7/2024?

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Total Forecasters11

Community Prediction20.3

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>30

...

15.29

20.28

22.56

6.4%

Authors:

quinoa

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Brown University Forecasting Team

Politics

What will be Donald Trump's margin of victory or defeat in these states in 2024?

How Many States or Jurisdictions Will Decide the 2024 US Presidential Election?

3.87

What is the probability that the Brown Daily Herald (BDH) will report on student response to the outcome of the 2024 presidential election (either negative or positive) by 2:00 PM EST on 11/7?

57%

Comments

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Authors:

quinoa

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Brown University Forecasting Team

Politics

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Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

What will be Donald Trump's margin of victory or defeat in these states in 2024?

How Many States or Jurisdictions Will Decide the 2024 US Presidential Election?

3.87

What is the probability that the Brown Daily Herald (BDH) will report on student response to the outcome of the 2024 presidential election (either negative or positive) by 2:00 PM EST on 11/7?

57%