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What proportions of influenza A subtype sequences will CDC report during the 2024-2025 season?

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H3N2

H1N1

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Subtype	25th	median	75th
H1N1	31.7 ...	40.5 ...	48.9 ...
H3N2	50 ...	58.8 ...	67.3 ...
H5	0.679 ...	1.02 ...	1.49 ...

weight:

My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

...

31.68

40.5

48.92

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Authors:

johnnycaffeine

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Respiratory Outlook 2024/25

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What proportion of tested influenza sequences will CDC report as influenza A during the 2024-25 season through the end of April 2025?

90.9

How many total human cases of H5 bird flu will CDC report in the United States for 2024 and 2025?

276

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Authors:

johnnycaffeine

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Respiratory Outlook 2024/25

Health & Pandemics

2024-2025 Leaderboard

Flu Season: CDC Map Reveals Rates Across US

Newsweek•Dec 17, 2024

What We Know About America’s First ‘Severe’ Bird-Flu Case

•Dec 19, 2024

CDC Confirms First Severe Case of H5N1 Bird Flu in the United States

•Dec 19, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

What proportion of tested influenza sequences will CDC report as influenza A during the 2024-25 season through the end of April 2025?

90.9

How many total human cases of H5 bird flu will CDC report in the United States for 2024 and 2025?

276