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What proportions of influenza A subtype sequences will CDC report during the 2024-2025 season?

6 forecasters

Forecast Timeline

H3N2

H1N1

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Subtype	25th	median	75th
H1N1	29.6 ...	42.2 ...	55.8 ...
H3N2	42 ...	56.7 ...	70.7 ...
H5	0.838 ...	1.29 ...	1.98 ...

My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

...

29.6

42.17

55.8

Authors:

johnnycaffeine

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Respiratory Outlook 2024/25

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Comments

? comments

Authors:

johnnycaffeine

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Respiratory Outlook 2024/25

Health & Pandemics

Bird flu infections more widespread among US dairy workers than thought – study

Guardian•Nov 12, 2024

H5N1 bird flu might be more prevalent among humans than public health data shows

Independent•Nov 12, 2024

Many more seniors are getting COVID shots this year, CDC reports

CBS•Nov 14, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

What proportion of tested influenza sequences will CDC report as influenza A during the 2024-25 season through the end of April 2025?

83.3

How many total human cases of H5 bird flu will CDC report in the United States for 2024 and 2025?

197