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What proportions of influenza A subtype sequences will CDC report during the 2024-2025 season?

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Authors:

johnnycaffeine

Opened:

Oct 31, 2024

Closes:

Apr 30, 2025

Scheduled resolution:

May 10, 2025

Respiratory Outlook 2024/25

Health & Pandemics

2024-2025 Leaderboard

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What proportion of tested influenza sequences will CDC report as influenza A during the 2024-25 season through the end of April 2025?

94.6

How many total human cases of H5 bird flu will CDC report in the United States for 2024 and 2025?

167

Will CDC report 10,000 or more H5 avian influenza cases in the United States before January 1, 2026? → If at least 200 human cases of H5 are confirmed in the United States before 2026, what will the estimated case fatality rate (in percent) be in the US?

Comments

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Authors:

johnnycaffeine

Opened:

Oct 31, 2024

Closes:

Apr 30, 2025

Scheduled resolution:

May 10, 2025

Respiratory Outlook 2024/25

Health & Pandemics

2024-2025 Leaderboard

Why This Year’s Flu Season Is the Worst in More Than a Decade

Scientific American•Mar 6, 2025

Your questions about bird flu, answered

NBC•Mar 9, 2025

Experts warn Americans ‘should bank on’ having more pandemics in the future

Independent•Mar 11, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

What proportion of tested influenza sequences will CDC report as influenza A during the 2024-25 season through the end of April 2025?

94.6

How many total human cases of H5 bird flu will CDC report in the United States for 2024 and 2025?

167

Will CDC report 10,000 or more H5 avian influenza cases in the United States before January 1, 2026? → If at least 200 human cases of H5 are confirmed in the United States before 2026, what will the estimated case fatality rate (in percent) be in the US?