Question
When, before April 27, 2025, will the KP lineage constitute less than 50% of the COVID-19 variants monitored in the US?
Resolved :Nov 23, 20242024-11-25Total Forecasters12
Community Prediction2024-11-25 (2024-11-23 - 2024-12-07)
Make a Prediction
CDF
My Prediction
communitylower 25%
median
upper 75%
>2025-04-27
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...
...
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2024-11-23 02:39
2024-11-25 13:13
2024-12-07 07:20
0.1%
What was the final result?Nov 23, 2024
Community Baseline Score
28.3
Community Peer Score
12.6
Authors:
Opened:Oct 31, 2024
Closes:Apr 26, 2025
Resolves:May 26, 2025
Comments
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Authors:
Opened:Oct 31, 2024
Closes:Apr 26, 2025
Resolves:May 26, 2025