Question

When, before April 27, 2025, will the KP lineage constitute less than 50% of the COVID-19 variants monitored in the US?

8 comments8

Total Forecasters10

Community Prediction2024-12-09

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My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>2025-04-27

...

2024-12-04 00:41

2024-12-09 05:15

2024-12-22 06:41

0.6%

Authors:

johnnycaffeine

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Respiratory Outlook 2024/25

Health & Pandemics

Will the XEC COVID-19 variant account for at least 50% of the variants monitored in the US before January 5, 2025?

40%

Will the World Health Organization designate a new COVID-19 Variant of Concern before July 1, 2025?

Will there be two or more COVID-19 hospitalization waves in the United States in at least one of the 2028 and 2029 respiratory disease seasons?

76%

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Authors:

johnnycaffeine

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Respiratory Outlook 2024/25

Health & Pandemics

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Will the XEC COVID-19 variant account for at least 50% of the variants monitored in the US before January 5, 2025?

40%

Will the World Health Organization designate a new COVID-19 Variant of Concern before July 1, 2025?

Will there be two or more COVID-19 hospitalization waves in the United States in at least one of the 2028 and 2029 respiratory disease seasons?

76%