Question

Will AI outperform superforecasters before 2030?

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Total Forecasters19

Community Prediction42% (38% - 69%)

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community: 42%

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nor

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Threshold 2030 Econ Forecasting

Economy & Business

Artificial Intelligence

Forrester’s Predictions 2024: 60% Percent of Generative AI Skeptics Will Embrace the Technology — Knowingly or Not

•Dec 24, 2024

Predictions for AI in 2025: Collaborative Agents, AI Skepticism, and New Risks

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AI Models Are Getting Smarter. New Tests Are Racing to Catch Up

Time•Dec 25, 2024

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When Will an AI be Amongst the Best Forecasters on Metaculus

2026-06-06

When will an AI program be better than humans at making Metaculus forecasts?

2030-10-16

Will an AI model be developed before 2030 that can accurately predict local weather patterns up to 6 months in advance?

Comments

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Authors:

nor

Opened:

Closed:

Scheduled resolution:

Threshold 2030 Econ Forecasting

Economy & Business

Artificial Intelligence

Forrester’s Predictions 2024: 60% Percent of Generative AI Skeptics Will Embrace the Technology — Knowingly or Not

•Dec 24, 2024

Predictions for AI in 2025: Collaborative Agents, AI Skepticism, and New Risks

•Dec 24, 2024

AI Models Are Getting Smarter. New Tests Are Racing to Catch Up

Time•Dec 25, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

When Will an AI be Amongst the Best Forecasters on Metaculus

2026-06-06

When will an AI program be better than humans at making Metaculus forecasts?

2030-10-16