Question

How many self-driving cars will be sold globally in the years 2025-2030?

Total Forecasters1

Community Prediction2.7M (1.34M - 4.46M)

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This question is closed for predictions, and is waiting to be resolved

	lower 25%	median	upper 75%
community	1.335M	2.704M	4.462M
My Prediction	—	—	—

Quartiles	community	My Prediction
lower 25%	1.335M	—
median	2.704M	—
upper 75%	4.462M	—

Authors:

nor

Opened:

Oct 30, 2024

Closed:

Nov 21, 2024

Scheduled resolution:

Dec 31, 2029

Threshold 2030 (Day Two)

Economy & Business

Artificial Intelligence

'Massive Shift' Ahead for Car Dealers as AI Gains Traction

Newsweek•Feb 16, 2025

Elon Musk said 2025 could be Tesla's 'most important year.' Here's what's on the agenda.

Business Insider•Feb 16, 2025

The end of Cruise is the beginning of a risky new phase for autonomous vehicles

Verge•Feb 18, 2025

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92%

When will these degrees of self-driving car autonomy be developed and commercially available?

2029-12-09

When will 5%, 10%, and 20% of the US population have access to L4 or L5 self-driving?

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