Question

Before 30 November 2019, will Germany's Bundestag adopt a bill that would impose a fine on parents who refuse a measles vaccine for their children?

Resolved :Yes

10 comments10

Total Forecasters56

Community Prediction75%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 75%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

38.8

Community Peer Score

6.4

median 75.0%mean 75.6%

Authors:

datscilly

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Law

Health & Pandemics

Federal Ministry of Health (Germany)

Will the German value-added tax (VAT) of plant-based milks be reduced to be the same as cow's milk by end of 2024?

Will German bishops break from the Catholic Church before 2035?

11%

Will the Christian Democratic Union of Germany announce that it is open to negotiating a coalition with the Alternative for Germany before 2030?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

datscilly

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Law

Health & Pandemics

Federal Ministry of Health (Germany)

Germany poised to hold snap election on 23 February

Guardian•Nov 12, 2024

German leader set to ask for Dec. 16 confidence vote, paving way for election as early as February

Associated Press•Nov 12, 2024

Germany set for snap election in February

CNN•Nov 12, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the German value-added tax (VAT) of plant-based milks be reduced to be the same as cow's milk by end of 2024?

Will German bishops break from the Catholic Church before 2035?

11%