Question

How many deaths in the US will be due to antibiotic-resistant infections in 2035?

Total Forecasters23

Community Prediction68.1k (38.6k - 119k)

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CDF

weight:

	<10k	lower 25%	median	upper 75%	>20M
community	4.6%	38.56k	68.15k	118.5k	0.3%
My Prediction	—	—	—	—	—

Lower bound	community	My Prediction
<10k	4.6%	—
Quartiles
lower 25%	38.56k	—
median	68.15k	—
upper 75%	118.5k	—
Upper bound
>20M	0.3%	—

Authors:

Tamay

Opened:

Jul 9, 2020

Closes:

Dec 31, 2035

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2036

Health & Pandemics

Microbiology

Multiple drug resistance

United States

Medicine

Pharmacology

Centers for Disease Control and Prevention

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Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the number of deaths from antibiotic-resistant infections per year double by December 31, 2025?

25%

How many deaths from Tuberculosis will occur globally in the following years?

1.05M

Will antimicrobial drug sales for use in livestock production increase by at least 0.5% in 2024 relative to 2023?

60%

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