Question

How many deaths in the US will be due to antibiotic-resistant infections in 2035?

2 comments2

Total Forecasters24

Community Prediction

68.2k deaths

(40.4k - 114k)

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CDF

	<10k	lower 25%	median	upper 75%	>20M
community	4.1%	40.43k	68.15k	113.7k	0.2%
My Prediction	—	—	—	—	—

Lower bound	community	My Prediction
<10k	4.1%	—
Quartiles
lower 25%	40.43k	—
median	68.15k	—
upper 75%	113.7k	—
Upper bound
>20M	0.2%	—

Authors:

Tamay

Opened:

Jul 9, 2020

Closes:

Dec 31, 2035

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2036

Spot Scoring Time:

Jul 11, 2020

Health & Pandemics

Microbiology

Multiple drug resistance

United States

Medicine

Pharmacology

Centers for Disease Control and Prevention

Alarm Raised Over Fungus Labelled 'Urgent AR Threat'

Newsweek•Mar 25, 2025

Genomic sequencing reveals previously unknown genes that make microbes resistant to drugs and hard to kill

The Conversation•Mar 24, 2025

Tuberculosis was once a disease in decline, but a resurgence in cases has health officials puzzled

PBS NewsHour•Mar 24, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

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15%

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61%

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