Question

How many biological humans will be alive on December 31, 2300, conditional on there being more than 500 Million?

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Total Forecasters69

Community Prediction10.8B (3.26B - 29.1B)

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3.26B

10.77B

29.1B

12.0%

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pranomostro

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Elon Predicts One Million Humans Will Be Augmented By Neuralink By 2030

Forbes•Dec 17, 2024

Immigration drives US population growth to highest rate in 23 years as residents pass 340 million

Associated Press•Dec 19, 2024

2019 U.S. Population Estimates Continue to Show the Nation’s Growth Is Slowing

•Dec 20, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Five years after AGI, what will be the biological human population?

8.71B

Will human population size recover to 5 billion by 3000CE if, by 2100, the population falls below 400 million without extinction occurring within 20 years?

65.9%

What will be the world population in the following years?

8.16B

Comments

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Authors:

pranomostro

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Elon Predicts One Million Humans Will Be Augmented By Neuralink By 2030

Forbes•Dec 17, 2024

Immigration drives US population growth to highest rate in 23 years as residents pass 340 million

Associated Press•Dec 19, 2024

2019 U.S. Population Estimates Continue to Show the Nation’s Growth Is Slowing

•Dec 20, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Five years after AGI, what will be the biological human population?

8.71B

Will human population size recover to 5 billion by 3000CE if, by 2100, the population falls below 400 million without extinction occurring within 20 years?

65.9%

What will be the world population in the following years?

8.16B

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How many biological humans will be alive on December 31, 2300, conditional on there being more than 500 Million?

Make a Prediction

Five years after AGI, what will be the biological human population?

Will human population size recover to 5 billion by 3000CE if, by 2100, the population falls below 400 million without extinction occurring within 20 years?

What will be the world population in the following years?

Comments

Five years after AGI, what will be the biological human population?

Will human population size recover to 5 billion by 3000CE if, by 2100, the population falls below 400 million without extinction occurring within 20 years?

What will be the world population in the following years?

Five years after AGI, what will be the biological human population?

Will human population size recover to 5 billion by 3000CE if, by 2100, the population falls below 400 million without extinction occurring within 20 years?

What will be the world population in the following years?

Five years after AGI, what will be the biological human population?

Will human population size recover to 5 billion by 3000CE if, by 2100, the population falls below 400 million without extinction occurring within 20 years?

What will be the world population in the following years?