Question

How many biological humans will be alive on December 31, 2300, conditional on there being more than 500 Million?

14 comments14

Total Forecasters70

Community Prediction10.9B

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>100B

...

3.26B

10.9B

29.9B

12.1%

Authors:

pranomostro

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Five years after AGI, what will be the biological human population?

8.79B

Will human population size recover to 5 billion by 3000CE if, by 2100, the population falls below 400 million without extinction occurring within 20 years?

66%

What will be the world population in the following years?

8.18B

Comments

? comments

Authors:

pranomostro

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Five years after AGI, what will be the biological human population?

8.79B

Will human population size recover to 5 billion by 3000CE if, by 2100, the population falls below 400 million without extinction occurring within 20 years?

66%

What will be the world population in the following years?

8.18B

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How many biological humans will be alive on December 31, 2300, conditional on there being more than 500 Million?

Make a Prediction

Five years after AGI, what will be the biological human population?

Will human population size recover to 5 billion by 3000CE if, by 2100, the population falls below 400 million without extinction occurring within 20 years?

What will be the world population in the following years?

Comments

Five years after AGI, what will be the biological human population?

Will human population size recover to 5 billion by 3000CE if, by 2100, the population falls below 400 million without extinction occurring within 20 years?

What will be the world population in the following years?

Five years after AGI, what will be the biological human population?

Will human population size recover to 5 billion by 3000CE if, by 2100, the population falls below 400 million without extinction occurring within 20 years?

What will be the world population in the following years?

Five years after AGI, what will be the biological human population?

Will human population size recover to 5 billion by 3000CE if, by 2100, the population falls below 400 million without extinction occurring within 20 years?

What will be the world population in the following years?