Question
How many biological humans will be alive on December 31, 2300, conditional on there being more than 500 Million?
Total Forecasters69
Community Prediction10.8B (3.26B - 29.1B)
Make a Prediction
CDF
weight:
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 3.26B | — |
| median | 10.77B | — |
| upper 75% | 29.1B | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >100B | 12.0% | — |
Authors:
Opened:Jul 26, 2019
Closes:Dec 31, 2300
Scheduled resolution:Jan 16, 2301
Comments
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Authors:
Opened:Jul 26, 2019
Closes:Dec 31, 2300
Scheduled resolution:Jan 16, 2301
