Question

When will Elon Musk have any device, such as a brain-machine interface, surgically implanted into his brain?

35 comments35

Total Forecasters166

Community Prediction2039-02

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

<2019-07

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>2040-12

...

0.7%

2031-05

2039-02

2040-12

44.5%

Authors:

agentofuser

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Brain–computer interface

Artificial intelligence

When will the US FDA grant Neuralink permission to sell and implant a brain-machine interface device into general consumers?

2034-06

When will the first human head transplant occur?

2047-09

Will humans be able to communicate via telepathy before 2050?

80%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

agentofuser

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Brain–computer interface

Artificial intelligence

When will the US FDA grant Neuralink permission to sell and implant a brain-machine interface device into general consumers?

2034-06

When will the first human head transplant occur?

2047-09

Will humans be able to communicate via telepathy before 2050?

80%

MetaculusM

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When will Elon Musk have any device, such as a brain-machine interface, surgically implanted into his brain?

Make a Prediction

When will the US FDA grant Neuralink permission to sell and implant a brain-machine interface device into general consumers?

When will the first human head transplant occur?

Will humans be able to communicate via telepathy before 2050?

Comments

When will the US FDA grant Neuralink permission to sell and implant a brain-machine interface device into general consumers?

When will the first human head transplant occur?

Will humans be able to communicate via telepathy before 2050?

When will the US FDA grant Neuralink permission to sell and implant a brain-machine interface device into general consumers?

When will the first human head transplant occur?

Will humans be able to communicate via telepathy before 2050?

When will the US FDA grant Neuralink permission to sell and implant a brain-machine interface device into general consumers?

When will the first human head transplant occur?

Will humans be able to communicate via telepathy before 2050?