Question
When will Elon Musk have any device, such as a brain-machine interface, surgically implanted into his brain?
Total Forecasters164
Community Prediction2037-11-10 (2030-08-03 - 2040-12-31)
Make a Prediction
CDF
weight:
| Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
| <2019-07-24 | 0.8% | — |
| Quartiles | ||
| lower 25% | Aug 2030 | — |
| median | Nov 2037 | — |
| upper 75% | >Dec 2040 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >2040-12-31 | 40.7% | — |
Authors:
Opened:Jul 25, 2019
Closes:Dec 31, 2040
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2041
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch
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Authors:
Opened:Jul 25, 2019
Closes:Dec 31, 2040
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2041
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch